# New Physics from Flavour

## Abstract

The UTfit Collaboration has produced several analyses in the context of flavour physics both within and beyond the Standard Model. In this paper we present updated results for the Standard Model analysis of the Unitarity Triangle using the latest experimental and lattice QCD inputs, as well as an update of the Unitarity Triangle analysis in a scenario beyond the Standard Model. Combining all available experimental and theoretical information on processes and using a model-independent parameterization, we extract the allowed New Physics contributions in the , , , and sectors. We observe a departure of the mixing phase from the Standard Model expectation with a significance of about .

## I Introduction

The UTfit Collaboration utfitsite () aims to determine the coordinates and of the apex of the Unitarity Triangle (UT), and in general the elements of the CKM matrix CKM () in the Standard Model (SM). Nowadays the SM analysis includes many experimental and theoretical results, such as predictions for several flavour observables and measurements of hadronic parameters which can be compared with the lattice QCD predictions utfitsm (). More recently, the UT analysis has been extended beyond the SM, allowing for a model-independent determination of and — assuming negligible New Physics (NP) contributions to tree-level processes — and a simultaneous evaluation of the size of NP contributions to amplitudes compatible with the flavour data utfitnp (); utfitbetas (). Recently, the NP analysis has been expanded to include an effective field theory study of the allowed NP contributions to amplitudes. This allows one to put model-independent bounds on the NP energy scale associated to flavour- and CP-violating phenomena utfiteft ().

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In these proceedings we present a preliminary update of our UT analysis in the SM, including a set of fit predictions and a study of the compatibility between the fit results and some of the most interesting experimental constraints. The main difference with respect to previously published results comes from the use of an updated set of lattice QCD results lubicz () and of some constraints (, , , ) updated to the latest available measurements. We also show an update of the analysis beyond the SM, with particular emphasis on NP contributions to the mixing phase, where we observe a significant discrepancy with respect to the SM prediction.

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## Ii The Unitarity Triangle analysis in the Standard Model

In the UT analysis we combine the available theoretical and experimental information relevant to determine and . To this end, we use a Bayesian approach as described in ref. dago (). The theoretical and experimental input values and errors are collected in Table 1.

The results of the SM fit are shown in Table 2, while the – plane can be found in Figure 1, where the and probability regions are plotted together with the regions selected by the single constraints. It is quite remarkable that the overall picture looks very consistent. The parameters and are determined in the SM with a relative errors of and respectively.

Within the precision of –, the CKM mechanism of the SM is able to describe pretty well the violation of the CP symmetry. In addition, flavour-changing CP-conserving and CP-violating processes select compatible regions in the – plane, as predicted by the three-generation unitarity. This is illustrated on the left side of fig. 2, while on the right side we show the constraining power of the CP-violating observables (namely the UT angles) in the sector only.

The results of the fit are displayed in Table 2. In order to check the compatibility of the various measurements with the results of the fit, we make a comparison of the fit prediction obtained without using the observable of interest as an input and the experimental measurement. Such predictions for a subset of observables are collected in Table 3.

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The two most significant discrepancies between measurements and fit predictions concern and the inclusive determination of . As can be seen in fig. 3, they are at the level of , showing the excellent overall compatibility of the measurements with the SM fit (with the remarkable exception of the mixing phase, as we will see in the following).

The measured value of is smaller than the fitted one. Comparing with the results of refs. soni (); guadagnoliburas (), we find that the SM fit using constraints from , and / only is again larger than the measurement, using the input values of Table 1.

## Iii The UT fit beyond the SM

Once it is established that the CKM mechanism is the main source of CP violation so far, an accurate model-independent determination of and is extremely important for identifying NP in the flavour sector.

The generalized UT fit, using only processes and parametrizing generic NP contributions, allows for the model-independent determination of and under the assumptions of negligible tree-level NP contributions. Details of the method can be found in ref. utfitnp ().

A peculiar prediction of the SM is that CP violation in mixing should be very small. For this reason, the experimental observation of a sizable CP violation in mixing would be an unambiguous signal of NP.

In fact, the present data give a hint of a mixing phase much larger than expected in the SM, with a significance at about utfitbetas (). This result is obtained by combining all available experimental information with the method used by our collaboration for UT analyses.

We perform a model-independent analysis of NP contributions to mixing using the following parameterization utfiteft ():

where is the effective Hamiltonian generated by both SM and NP, while only contains SM contributions. The angle is defined as and it equals in the SM.

We make use of the following experimental inputs: the CDF measurement of dmsCDF (), the semi-leptonic asymmetry in decays ASLD0 (), the di-muon charge asymmetry from DØ ACHD0 () and CDF ASLCDF (), the measurement of the lifetime from flavour-specific final states tauBsflavspec (), the two-dimensional likelihood ratio for and from the time-dependent tagged angular analysis of decays by CDF CDFTAGGED () and the correlated constraints on , and from the same analysis performed by DØ D0TAGGED (). For the latter, since the complete likelihood is not available yet, we start from the results of the -variable fit in the free- case from Table I of ref. D0TAGGED (). We implement the correlation matrix and integrate over the strong phases and decay amplitudes to obtain the reduced correlation matrix used in our analysis. In the DØ analysis, the twofold ambiguity inherent in the measurement (, , ) for arbitrary strong phases was removed using a value for derived from the BaBar analysis of using SU(3). However, this neglects the singlet component of and, although the sign of obtained using SU(3) is consistent with the factorization estimate, to be conservative we reintroduce the ambiguity in the DØ measurement, taking the errors quoted by DØ as Gaussian and duplicate the likelihood at the point obtained by applying the discrete ambiguity. Hopefully DØ will present results without assumptions on the strong phases in the future, allowing for a more straightforward combination. Finally, for the CKM parameters we perform the UT analysis in the presence of arbitrary NP as described in ref. utfiteft (), obtaining and .

Observable | Prob. | Prob. |
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-20.3 5.3 | [-30.5,-9.9] | |

-68.0 4.8 | [-77.8,-58.2] | |

1.00 0.20 | [0.68,1.51] | |

-56.3 8.3 | [-69.8,-36.0] | |

-79.1 2.6 | [-84.0,-72.8] | |

0.66 0.28 | [0.24,1.11] | |

1.78 0.03 | [1.53,2.19] |

The results of our analysis are summarized in Table 4. We see that the phase deviates from zero at more than . In Fig. 4 we present the two-dimensional and probability regions for the NP parameters and , the corresponding regions for the parameters and , and the one-dimensional distributions for NP parameters.

The solution around corresponds to and . The second solution is much more distant from the SM and it requires a dominant NP contribution () and in this case the NP phase is very well determined.

Finally, we have tested the significance of the NP signal against different modeling of the probability density function (p.d.f.). We have explored two more methods with respect to the standard Gaussian one used by the DØ Collaboration in presenting the result: this is mainly to address the non-Gaussian tails that the experimental likelihood is showing. Firstly, we have used the C.L. range for given by DØ to estimate the standard deviation, obtaining as input for the Gaussian analysis. This is conservative since the likelihood has a visibly larger half-width on the side opposite to the SM expectation (see Fig. 2 of Ref. D0TAGGED ()). Second, we have implemented the likelihood profiles for and given by DØ, discarding the correlations but restoring the strong phase ambiguity. The likelihood profiles include the second minimum corresponding to , , which is disfavoured by the oscillating terms present in the tagged analysis and is discarded in the Gaussian analysis. Also this approach is conservative since each one-dimensional profile likelihood is minimized with respect to the other variables relevant for our analysis. It is remarkable that both methods give a deviation of from zero of . We conclude that the combined analysis gives a stable departure from the SM, although the precise number of standard deviations depends on the procedure followed to combine presently available data.

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