Bifurcations in Delayed Lotka-VolterraIntraguild Predation Model

# Bifurcations in Delayed Lotka-Volterra Intraguild Predation Model

Juancho A. Collera
Department of Mathematics and Computer Science
University of the Philippines Baguio
jacollera@up.edu.ph
###### Abstract

Omnivory is defined as feeding on more than one trophic level. An example of this is the so-called intraguild predation (IG) which includes a predator and its prey that share a common resource. IG predation models are known to exhibit interesting dynamics including chaos. This work considers a three-species food web model with omnivory, where the interactions between the basal resource, the IG prey, and the IG predator are of Lotka-Volterra type. In the absence of predation, the basal resource follows a delayed logistic equation or popularly known as Hutchinson’s equation. Conditions for the existence, stability, and bifurcations of all non-negative equilibrium solutions are given using the delay time as parameter. Results are illustrated using numerical bifurcation analysis.

Mathematics Subject Classification: 37G15, 39A30, 92D25

Keywords: Intraguild predation, Lotka-Volterra model, Hopf bifurcations, delay differential equations, omnivory, delayed logistic equation.

## 1 Introduction

Omnivory, as defined in , occurs when a population feeds on resources at more than one trophic level. For example, a species feeding on its prey’s resource is called omnivorous. This particular type of tri-trophic community module is called intraguild (IG) predation , and was shown to be quite common in nature . This three-species IG predation model includes top and intermediate predators termed as IG predator and IG prey, respectively, and a basal resource. The IG predator depends completely both on the IG prey and the basal resource for its sustenance, while the IG prey depends solely on the basal resource. A study of a model of IG predation with non-linear functional responses in  showed that omnivory stabilizes and enhances persistence of the three-species food web. However, a model of Lotka-Volterra type with linear functional responses considered in  showed that IG predation could have a destabilizing effect, and a criterion for co-existence of all three species is that the IG prey must be superior than the IG predator in competing for the shared basal resource. Lotka-Volterra IG predation models are known to exhibit interesting dynamics such as limit cycles , bistabity , and chaos [19, 14].

In this paper, we consider a Lotka-Volterra IG predation model where, in the absence of the IG predator and the IG prey, the basal resource grows according to the delayed logistic equation or more commonly known as the Hutchinson’s equation . It should be noted that there are several other ways of formulating the delayed logistic equation such as in , and in this paper, we use the so-called classical delayed logistic equation. Our delayed model generalizes the Lotka-Volterra IG predation models of  and  which are basically systems of ODEs.

This paper is organized as follows. In Section 2, we introduce the delayed Lotka-Volterra IG predation model and discuss the existence of its equilibrium solutions. In Section 3, we give the main results of this paper. These are the conditions for stability and bifurcations of all non-negative equilibria using the delay time as parameter. In Section 4, we use numerical continuation and bifurcation analysis to illustrate our results on the effects of the delay time to our Lotka-Volterra IG predation model. We then end by giving a summary and the thoughts of this paper.

## 2 The Model

We consider the following delayed Lotka-Volterra IG predation model

 ˙x(t) = [a0−a1x(t−τ)−a2y(t)−a3z(t)]x(t), ˙y(t) = [−b0+b1x(t)−b3z(t)]y(t), (1) ˙z(t) = [−c0+c1x(t)+c2y(t)]z(t),

where , , and are the densities at time of the basal resource, IG prey, and IG predator, respectively. In the absence of the IG predator and the IG prey, the basal resource grows according to the delay logistic equation [3, 18]. When , we recover the ODEs model in . We refer to  for the description of the rest of the parameters in (1). Moreover, we use an initial condition for and where .

An important characteristic of the IG predation is that is it a mixture of community modules such as competition and predation [8, 9, 16]. When , we obtain a food chain while if , we obtain exploitative competition (or shared resources) where two predators, in our case the IG predator and the IG prey, share a common resource and the IG predator does not feed on the IG prey. Meanwhile, if , we obtain apparent competition (or shared predation), which in our model, the IG predator feeds on both the IG prey and the basal resource but there is no predation on the basal resource by the IG prey. In this case, the IG prey will go extinct.

### 2.1 Equilibrium Solutions

System (1) has five possible non-negative equilibrium solutions: , where , where and , where and , and the positive equilibrium solution where

 P = a0b3c2−a2b3c0+a3b0c2, Q = −a0b3c1+a1b3c0−a3b0c1+a3b1c0, R = a0b1c2−a1b0c2+a2b0c1−a2b1c0, S = a1b3c2−a2b3c1+a3b1c2.

Since all parameters of system (1) are positive, we have , , and . Thus, and always exist. For and to exist, we require and , respectively, or equivalently and , respectively. Now, if is positive (resp. negative), then each of , , and must also be positive (resp. negative) for to be a positive equilibrium. The following theorem summarizes these results.

###### Theorem 2.1

For system (1), the equilibrium solutions and always exist, while and exist provided and , respectively, or equivalently, and , respectively. The positive equilibrium solution exists if , , and are all positive.

### 2.2 Local Stability of Equilibria

Let . Then, the linear system corresponding to (1) around an equilibrium solution is where

and

and with corresponding characteristic equation

 det(λI−M0−M1e−λτ)=0. (2)

If all roots of (2) have negative real part, then the equilibrium solution is locally asymptotically stable . We can think of the roots of (2) as continuous functions of the delay time , that is, . When , (2) is a polynomial equation. In this case, the well-known Routh-Hurwitz criterion can then be utilize to provide stability conditions for . As is increased from zero, Corollary 2.4 of  tells us that the sum of the orders of the roots of (2) in the open right half-plane can change only if a zero appears on or crosses the imaginary axis. That is, stability switch occurs at a critical value where is either zero or purely imaginary. The transversality condition implies that the eigenvalues cross from left to right. Hence, if is stable at , then, as is increased, it loses its stabilty at . Thus, is locally asymptotically stable when . If there are no roots of (2) that cross the imaginary axis, then there are no stability switches and in this case, we have absolute stability . That is, remains stable for all delay time .

## 3 Main Results

In the following, we give conditions for the stability of each equilibrium solution of system (1) when using the technique mentioned above. When , the stability analysis of each of the equilibrium solution of system (1) can be found in [14, Appendix A] and in  but in slightly different form. We mention them here for completeness.

At , the characteristic equation (2) becomes whose roots are , and . Thus, we have the following result.

###### Theorem 3.1

The equilibrium solution of system (1) is a local saddle point and is unstable for all delay time .

At , the characteristic equation (2) becomes

 (λ−b1a2B/a1)(λ−c1a3D/a1)(λ+a0e−λτ)=0. (3)

When , (3) has roots , , and . In this case, we see that is locally asymptotically stable provided both and are negative, or equivalently and . Recall from Theorem 2.1 that these conditions imply that both and do not exist. Suppose now that , and and . It is known that all roots of have negative real part if and only if (see for example [12, pp.70]). Thus, is locally asymptotically stable if and only if .

###### Theorem 3.2

Suppose that (1) satisfies and , or equivalently and , respectively. Then, the equilibrium solution is locally asymptotically stable if and only if where . If , then (1) undergoes a Hopf bifurcation at .

Example 1. The set of parameter values

 (a0,a1,a2,a3,b0,b1,b3,c0,c1,c2)=(1,0.5,1,0.6,0.75,0.25,0.5,0.5,0.15,0.3)

satisfies the assumptions in Theorem 3.2, and gives (approx. 1.5708). Figure 1 illustrates the stability switch at using the initial condition for . is stable for . Figure 1: Stability switch occurs at a Hopf bifurcation point where τ=π/2. E1 is stable when τ<π/2 (Left) and is unstable when τ>π/2 (Right).

At , the characteristic equation (2) becomes

 (λ−R/a2b1)(λ2+¯bλe−λτ+¯c)=0 (4)

where and . Since the existence of requires both and to be positive, we have and . First, consider the case when . Since and , the Routh-Hurwitz criterion tells us that all roots of have negative real parts. Thus, is locally asymptotically stable if and only if . Suppose now that and . Since both and are non-zero, then is not a root of (4). Meanwhile, notice that , with , is a root of (4) if and only if satisfies Splitting into real and imaginary parts, we obtain

 ¯bμsin(μτ)=μ2−¯cand¯bμcos(μτ)=0. (5)

Squaring each sides of equations in (5) and then adding them together, we get or equivalently, . Since and the discriminant , we obtain two positive values of given by

 μ±={12[(¯b2+2¯c)±√(¯b2+2¯c)2−4¯c2]}1/2 (6)

with . Using (5), we get . So that for . Now, corresponding to a given , define the increasing sequence for . The proof of the following lemma can be found in [12, pp. 74–75].

###### Lemma 3.3

Let be the root of (4) satisfying . Then,

 sign d(Re λ)dτ∣∣∣τ=τk=% sign (2μ2−¯b2−2¯c).

For , define the sequence for correspondingly, and let . Since , we have , and hence is the smallest amongst all . From (6), we have . Thus, at (or equivalently at ), the quantity is positive by Lemma 3.3. This, together with the Hopf bifurcation theorem , we have the following result.

###### Theorem 3.4

Suppose that in system (1), or equivalently . Then, the equilibrium solution of (1) is locally asymptotically stable whenever . If , then system (1) undergoes a Hopf bifurcation at .

Example 2. Using the same set of parameters and initial condition as in Example 1 with changed to , the assumptions in Theorem 3.4 are satisfied. Figure 2 illustrates the stability switch at approximately. Figure 2: Stability switch occurs at a Hopf bifurcation where τ=τμ+=1.6573 approximately. The equlibrium solution E2=(1.50,0.25,0.00) is stable when τ<τμ+ (Left) and is unstable when τ>τμ+ (Right).

A similar condition for the stability of can be obtained using the same analysis used for , and is given in the following theorem.

###### Theorem 3.5

Suppose that in system (1), or equivalently . Let , , and

 ν+={12[(~b2+2~c)+√(~b2+2~c)2−4~c2]}1/2.

Then, the equilibrium solution of (1) is locally asymptotically stable whenever where . If , then system (1) undergoes a Hopf bifurcation at .

### Stability of the Positive Equilibrium E4

At , the characteristic equation (2) becomes

 λ3+aλ+b+(cλ2+d)e−λτ=0 (7)

where , , , and Note here that Order-three quasi-polynomials with single delay, different to (7), have been studied in [5, 11]. We follow a similar method used in  to analyze the distribution of the roots of (7) on the complex plane. When , then (7) reduces to

 λ3+cλ2+aλ+(b+d)=0. (8)

The Routh-Hurwitz criterion tells us that all roots of (8) have negative real part if and only if the following inequalities hold: and If , then , , and must all be negative for to be a positive equilibrium. This implies that , , and , and thus, is unstable. If , then each of , , and must be positive for to be a positive equilibrium. In this case, , , and are all positive. Now, notice that if in addition to the assumption that , we also have (or equivalently ), then Hence, for the case when , is locally asymptotically stable whenever and .

Suppose now that , and assume that and . If is a root of (7), then . However, since and none of , , and is equal to zero. Thus, is not a root of (7). If , with , is a root (7), then Splitting into real and imaginary parts, we get

 (cω2−d)cosωτ=b,and(cω2−d)sinωτ=ω3−aω. (9)

Squaring each sides of these equations and then adding corresponding sides gives

 ω6+αω4+βω2+γ=0 (10)

where , , and . We claim that , , and . To see this, observe that since , we have and consequently, , , and are all positive. Immediately, we see that and . Meanwhile, the assumptions and gives and , respectively. As a result, . We now show that (10) has at least one positive root. Let , and note that if the equation has a positive root , then (10) has a positive root . Now, notice that has two positive roots with . Since , , and , we know that the graph of passes through the point below the horizontal axis, and then increases in a concave down manner. The continuity of and the fact that increases without bound as guarantee that has at least one positive root . That is, (10) has a positive root , and therefore (7) has purely imaginary roots . Noting that a local maximun of occurs at and a local minimun of occurs at , we see that the graph of the cubic polynomial is increasing on and on . Moreover, we either have or .

If the equation has more than one positive roots, then it must have exactly three positive roots so that is a simple root of (10). Using the first equation in (9), for a given , define its corresponding increasing sequence for . Specifically, for a given , we get a corresponding . Among the three positive roots of the equation , we then choose so that has corresponding that is smallest. This guarantees that a pair of purely imaginary eigenvalues will first occur at .

###### Lemma 3.6

Let be the root of (7) satisfying . Then,

 d(Re λ)dτ∣∣∣τ=τk>0.

Proof. From (7),

 [(3λ2+a)+(2cλ−(cλ2+d)τ)e−λτ]dλdτ−λ(cλ2+d)e−λτ=0.

Consequently,

 (dλdτ)−1 = 2cλ+(3λ2+a)eλτλ(cλ2+d)−τλ = 2ccλ2+d−3λ2+aλ(λ3+aλ+b)−τλ

since using (7). Hence,

 sign{d(Re λ)dτ}λ=iω0 = sign{Re(dλdτ)−1}λ=iω0 = sign{Re 2ccλ2+d+Re −3λ2−aλ4+aλ2+bλ}λ=iω0 = sign{Re 2c−cω20+d+Re 3ω20−aω40−aω20+ibω0} = sign{−2ccω20−d+(3ω20−a)(ω40−aω20)(ω40−aω20)2+(bω0)2} = sign{−2ccω20−d+(3ω20−a)(ω20−a)(ω30−aω0)2+b2} = sign{−2ccω20−d+(3ω20−a)(ω20−a)(cω20−d)2}

since from (9). Thus,

 sign{d(Re λ)dτ}λ=iω0 = sign{−2c(cω20−d)+(3ω20−a)(ω20−a)} = sign{3ω40+(−4a−2c2)ω20+(a2+2cd)} = sign{3ω40+2αω20+β}.

Since is increasing on the intervals and , and belongs to or to , we have . This implies that since . Thus,

 sign{d(Re λ)dτ}λ=iω0=sign{3ω40+2αω20+β}=+1

and this completes the proof.

By Lemma 3.6, This, together with the Hopf bifurcation theorem  give the following result.

###### Theorem 3.7

Suppose that in system (1), and (or equivalently and , respectively). Then, the positive equilibrium solution of (1) is locally asymptotically stable whenever . If , then system (1) undergoes a Hopf bifurcation at .

Example 3. Using the same set of parameters as in Example 1 with and , the assumptions in Theorem 3.7 are satisfied. Using the initial condition for , Figure 3 illustrates the stability switch at approximately. Figure 3: Stability switch occurs at τ=τ0=1.7438 (approx.). The positive equilibrium solution E4=(0.7778,0.5778,0.0556) is stable for τ<τ0 (Left) and is unstable when τ>τ0 (Right).

## 4 Numerical Continuation

Recall that for , is locally asymptotically stable whenever and . A branch of equilibrium solutions can be obtained by following or continuing this equilibrium solution in DDE-Biftool  using the delay time as parameter. DDE-Biftool is a numerical continuation and bifurcation analysis tool developed by Engelborghs et al . We use the same set of parameters and initial condition used in Example 3. In Figure 4, the top panel shows the branch of equilibrium solutions (horizontal line) obtained in DDE-Biftool, where green and magenta represents the stable and unstable parts of the branch, respectively. A change of stability occurs at a Hopf bifurcation point marked with () where . Again, we use DDE-biftool to continue this Hopf point into a branch of periodic solutions. We obtained a stable branch of periodic solutions and this shown as the green curve in the top panel of Figure 4. Here, the vertical axis gives a measure of the maximum value of the oscillation of the periodic solutions in the component. The middle and bottom panels corresponds to the same bifurcation diagram as the top panel but for the and the components.

Figure 4 illustrates the results of Theorem 3.7, that is, the stability switch at and the occurrence of Hopf bifurcation. Numerical continuations showed that, as the positive equilibrium loses its stability, the branch of periodic solutions that emerges from the Hopf point is stable. Biologically, this means that the three species still persist and the only difference now is that the three populations are oscillating. Figure 4: Stable branch of periodic solutions emerges from the Hopf bifurcation point marked with (∗) where τ=τ0.

## 5 Conclusion

We studied a delayed Lotka-Volterra IG predation model where, in the absence of predation, the basal resource grows according to the delayed logistic equation. By first considering the case where , stability conditions for the all non-negative equilibria are established using the well-known Routh-Hurwitz criterion. For , we showed that stability switch occurs at a Hopf bifurcation where the stable equilibrium becomes unstable. Moreover, numerical continuation shows that a stable branch of periodic solutions emerges from the Hopf point as the positive equilibrium solution becomes unstable. This means that by increasing the delay time the positive equilibrium could become unstable. However, since the periodic orbit that will emerge is stable, all three species will still persist.

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